Zogby poll finds strong opposition to Sotomayor confirmation
TO: JCN MEMBERS AND INTERESTED PARTIES
FROM: WENDY E. LONG, COUNSEL
GARY A. MARX, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR
DATE: JULY 28, 2009
RE: ZOGBY POLL FINDS STRONG OPPOSITION TO SOTOMAYOR
CONFIRMATION
A new Zogby/O'Leary Report Poll confirms what JCN has been saying for a long time: The more the American public learns about Judge Sonia Sotomayor, the more they will agree that she is a liberal judicial activist who will decide the "hard" cases based on personal politics and feelings.
According to the Zogby poll released Monday, less than half of Americans (49%) support Judge Sotomayor's confirmation and an equal number oppose it. Hispanic voters are roughly split on Sotomayor, 47% in favor and 43% against, while Independent voters oppose her confirmation (55% to 44%) as do small business owners (52% to 42%).
Gun owners - who had considerable reason to oppose Judge Sotomayor after she refused to tell Senators the right to bear arms is a "fundamental right" - oppose her confirmation by more than a 2-1 margin, 67% to 30%. [The poll was conducted July 21-24, surveyed 4,470 voters, and has a margin-of-error of plus-or-minus 1.5 percentage points.]
These and other poll results show an overwhelming level of opposition to a Supreme Court nominee who, at the time of her nomination, was expected by some to be a shoo-in because of her life story and background. As Gallup announced recently in an analysis of a separate poll, "[w]ith only 9% of Americans expressing no opinion about Sotomayor's fate, the lowest seen for any nominee, she now garners more opposition than any Supreme Court nominee of the past two decades, except for the unsuccessful Harriet Miers."
In contrast, "[s]upport for [Samuel] Alito's confirmation grew after widely televised confirmation hearings," said Gallup, with 54% of Americans expressing support and only 30% opposing. A poll conducted by Gallup after the Senate confirmation hearings for John Roberts found that 60% of Americans supported his confirmation and only 26% opposed.
President Obama promised he would appoint a Supreme Court justice who would decide the "hard" cases by relying on personal feelings and politics. He fulfilled that promise by nominating Judge Sotomayor, whose record of speeches, law review articles, and judicial decisions demonstrates that she and President Obama are on the same page when it comes to liberal judicial activism.
Poll after poll has shown that the American people reject that lawless view of the judiciary, and that they embrace the rule of law and the view that judges should be more like neutral umpires, saying what the law is and not what they think it should be. Through the confirmation process, and the efforts of groups like JCN to bring much needed attention to the process, the American people have now learned enough about Judge Sotomayor to conclude that she is unworthy of their endorsement because she rejects their traditional conception of the judicial role.
The public's views on this important issue are obvious, which is why Judge Sotomayor and her Democratic boosters went out of their way during her public hearings to pretend (incredibly) that they have discovered the virtue of judicial restraint and the rule of law.
Senators Orrin Hatch and Charles Grassley today voted against the approval of a Supreme Court nominee for the first time in their long Senate careers. Their votes reflect the strong view of the American people in favor of judges ruling impartially based on the law, not on their personal views, experiences, and opinions. And though a final vote on the nomination has not been scheduled, already 18 Senators have announced that they will vote against Judge Sotomayor - more than any Democratic Supreme Court nominee since 1916.
Despite her life story, the historic nature of her nomination as a female Hispanic, the support of a popular President and an overwhelmingly Democratic Senate, and widely publicized confirmation hearings during which she claimed to turn her back on decades of prior statements and writings, the public has not been fooled into supporting a judicial activist. To the contrary, efforts to educate the public and motivate thousands of Americans to get engaged in the battle over judicial philosophy are paying off; the cost of nominating and confirming judicial activists is the highest it has been in our lifetimes.




